Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Just a Irish Lad |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Box Seat |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will the Thrill |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forever Cool |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fridaynightsoldier |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just a Irish Lad |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Estifraad |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Box Seat |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Once Upon a Dream |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Desoto’s War |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mongolian Moon |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big Muckity |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cielo’s Knight |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mega Shack |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Outlaw |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Laridae |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr Peloton |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
C B’s Flat Out |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancing Devil |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
King of the Disco |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cupid’s Thunder |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Withering Gaze |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
King Adolis |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always in the Game |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Gospel Don |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drama King |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Do Your Job |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soldiers Sacrifice |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Johnny Appleseed |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
County Judge |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Optimal Trip |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Message Discipline |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dutch Bus |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Woman’s Intuition |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Razors Edge |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dancing Fool |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runrate |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lemon Marmalade |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maybe So |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eos Minnie Prinnie |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shes a Devil Woman |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blingster |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Spirit of Veterans |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Jessie’s Run |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Neutralize |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart Okie |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paula M |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peach Street |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chaparrita |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Okie Trouble |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Tub Hottie |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
How Bout Me |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Euro Kountry Girl |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mia Is Short |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shesasmalltowngirl |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Divertida |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aunt Kendra |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Total Insanity |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tharolite |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lamentable Jarin |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Vienna Prize |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vestes |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missing Code |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gospel Charity |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Drama Code |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rachel’s Caper |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bandera Azteca |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stage Left |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speightsville |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speight and Malice |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Team Leader |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bling Mountain |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.