Site icon Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sevilla 0 0-1
3 3 Rogue Diamond 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Blushing Bonnie 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Talksalot 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cigars N Cars 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sevilla 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamond Country 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Classic Deal 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Drama Queenie 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Sassi Jolie 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Strummin Mary 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Red Revenger 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Krafty Taffy 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Guitar Boy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Silent Power 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ego 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fabled Ruler 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Charlie’s Creed 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kentucky Peerless 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rooster Run 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Diamond Dave 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Implicator 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dashyns Dream 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Differently 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Start Singing 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Miss Distinctive 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cotton Candy Annie 15.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Xcaret 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 True Blue Sky 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweet Sassicaia 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Country Lady 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Half Page 20.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Drop Dead Sexy 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Alexaplayborntorun 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Miss Kennedy 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ours and Theirs 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Lake Marie 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vale Male 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Front and Silver 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Young Tuscan 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Prodigy Paradise 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Order Up 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Drewmazing 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Magawildtime 3.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Astrologysprotege 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Peso Pesado 10.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Otra Cosa 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orleans Tourist 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 House Bourbon 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Real City Speed 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Pepper Jack 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Coffee County 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Syvestar 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Deer Crossing 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Calicoco 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Comanche Warrior 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Caper’s Hooley 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Premium 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Over and Ollie 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Peso in My Pocket 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Craken Jax 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lucky Romance 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Smart N Intuitive 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Like This 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Coastal Defense 0 0-1
10 10 The Paddock Pastor 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cat On Time 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 My Noble Knight 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Coastal Defense 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Caroom 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 El Perfecto 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dumbstruck 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Den’s Good Grace 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Righthere Rightnow 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sabi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cadillac Cowboy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 All About Tonite 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mor Jazz 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Whiskey and Easy 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Malibu Brad 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bad Decisions 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Come On Come On 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Tap On By 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Righteous Freedom 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tanmancan 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version