Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Forever Wicked 0 0-1
1 1 Run Cory Run 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dudley Dickerson 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Tropic Storm 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Wynn Giant 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Dr Bayter 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Title Shot 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Carnivore 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Forever Wicked 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Doctor Doom 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sailor’s Return 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Suigu Star 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Long Gray Line 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Social Group 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 True Dakotan 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Merging Traffic 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Four Days Early 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Builder Jak 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Curagio 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Cauteloso 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Texas Air Force 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tycoon 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Nifty 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Jacohare 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Amatteroftime 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Swift Tap 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Youbetterbejoking 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Zeta 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Tara’s Talent 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Princess Cupid 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Queen Cadence 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Pearls and Heels 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Bella Prima 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Snappy Ride 10.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Gladriel 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Marion Grace 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Solemn Oath 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Secret Temptation 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Chelsea Wall 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 More Ransom 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gamestonks 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Heleonortiz 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sirenetta 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Principia 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Aegean Sea 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sundria 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ree Nee’s Six 10.00 4 7-1
6 6 Tempest Rising 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Deeds of Love 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Warrior’s Vendetta 0 0-1
Roadtriptonowhere 0 0-1
8 8 Splendor Beauty 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Artistic Reason 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Roadtriptonowhere 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 This Run’s for You 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Thirsty Pappy 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Hey Porter 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Predominate 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Warrior’s Vendetta 6.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Yes Sir Colonel 8.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Silent Mode 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version