Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Diomedes |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaggersgotagun |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gun Court |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Summer Commander |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Its Time to Shine |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Have It My Way |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Swervin Mervyn |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forest Woodsman |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Screen Legend |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Question Mark |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Get Ready Set Fire |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Manalucius |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clive Cross |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Ashuka |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Glorious Revenge |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Kerr |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Clayton |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pine Knoll |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tazman |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forest Buzz |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Landing |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Soulmate |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Break the Spell |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kinetic Stone |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hey Cue |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pat’s Gamble |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
The New Maybe |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Penner Ash (IRE) |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Secret Threat |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Colonel Mustard |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Siesta Beach |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cooler Man |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hymn to Her |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rhaenyra |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mean to Me |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lemoncella Spritz |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sultry Sophie |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silent Strike |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Snatched |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Black Dagger |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
One More Doll |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chervonaruta |
12.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Victory’s Ghost |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Seattle |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Souper Zesty Zest |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Earendel |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tandhoneywithane |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bit of Music |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ca Bam |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Talbot’s Riplyn |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Windjammer Way |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cup of Kindness |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Quinte Gal |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Logistics |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Samurai |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Follow Me |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arami’s Factor |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coffee Crisp |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit Bear |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
George’s Honey |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Princess Elizabeth S.) – Princess Elizabeth S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Shifty |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brengungirl |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Regal Moment |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess of Storm |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beach Cricket |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ready for Candy |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Aristella |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crystal Visions |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ella It Is |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Orient Beach |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scat Girl |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proud Mischief |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Coronation Futurity) – Coronation Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dewolf |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forty N Five |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ashley’s Archer |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Notorious Gangster |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Faber |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kekoa |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scuderia |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ylivoimainen |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conacher |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Armino |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Watsonville Red |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Coherence |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey Row |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bearing Down |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Left in My Dust |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Play the Dots |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Panyard Tap |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Trebuchet |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Star Scholar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sparklet |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Pet Sounds |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Loaded Justice |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.