Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Shenanigan | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banking Silver | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sycamore Shoals | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Classy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Fantastica | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasten | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delicious Diva | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Em Too | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going Steady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Running Away | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dawn After Dawn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anna’s Promise | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poppyland | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Jubilee | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Tapit | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derry Girl | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Other Like You | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Hot Wife | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halfin | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Division | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Ruthless | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Book’em | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quantum Burst | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Note | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Orient | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rando | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin N Gunnin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Take Note of This | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Conduct | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birkin Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Express | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exclusive Star | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Faith | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Maxima | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Are You a Spy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vice | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Kisses | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Nights | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chere Amia | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Evelyn Louise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Miss Pharaoh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tizntshelovely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pediatric Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patch Adams | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cant Stop Munnings | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zat’s the One | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shogun | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ripped | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anew | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mogordy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Traitour | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Missed the Turn | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Devil | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Native Runner | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Mule | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mashburn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ready to Seize | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Warden | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Faust | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ed Brown S.) – Ed Brown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glean | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Catch | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Dandi | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wisconsin Gal | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coming in Hot | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thrilla | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep It Easy | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vehemently | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavenville | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Time | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Muggs | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hedge | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McKellen | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trew Violence | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C K Wonder | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Mischief | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gift Certificate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | To Monarch | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anegada | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ornato | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Baker Hayfield | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Culture War | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flexible Terms | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Power of Will | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Predecessor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Imperial Ruler | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard as Life | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Danger | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halter Boy | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Viking Sun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | My Father’s Place | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | War and Majesty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bourbonator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Golden Rod S.) – Golden Rod S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eclatant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Cheer | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Lil Punky | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quietside | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sturgeon Moon | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash Wear | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fixin to Bee | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fern Creek S.) – Fern Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Impulse Buy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Sound | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shisospicy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Me Governor | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rosato | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shezafunkydrummer | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Praying | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Viral Plane Lady | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic City | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cotillard | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollygrove | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Kentucky Jockey Club S.) – Kentucky Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dapper Moon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | First Resort | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathan’s Way | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Not Joking | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiztastic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Render Judgment | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Moon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redacted | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Filoso | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sonic Skidaddle | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clock Tower | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buzz Rocket | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Kalahari Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Promise | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copp | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnum Force | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Multiverse | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stormin the Beach | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sound Cause | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Monet’s Magic | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buzz Rocket | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Generative | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burnham Square | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Limited Edition | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | White Whale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Authentic Gallop | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Game Day | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Master Controller | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.