Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Janssen |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz the Prince |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Landauer |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unaffected |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neptune Beach |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dream Alliance |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dr High |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
York Tavern |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Mendelssohn |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Puff’smagicdragon |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Conniving |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
5 |
Hours in a Day |
1.80 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
Battle of Britain |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Golden Purchase |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1A |
7 |
Beary Funny |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Elvis Himself |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
He Has It All |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tomorrow’s Wish |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Letter Perfect |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sounds Like Fun |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coach Pitino |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Party With Smarty |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Trinity River |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
New Matthew |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tap It Easy |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bigfoot Sighting |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunday Gilt |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Arch’s Assault |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Runamor |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Premier Cru |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Resilient Hero |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Snappin Buttons |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Patty Van Twinkle |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Voce |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Status |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valentine Gift |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dashing Della |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Justheart |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s Cool |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Roberta |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giant’s Audible |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Diablo’s Mischief |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Event |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take Me to Londyn |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sabby Sunset |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laguardia |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Glimmer |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rye On the Rocks |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Crazy Mason |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Printrack |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stolen Magic |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ari’s Magic |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crazy Mason |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Stride |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shipsational |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iridescent |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Vettriano |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Whatchatalkinabout |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Caldo Candy |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quiet Wisdom |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aggelos the Great |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Acoustic Ave |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Locke and Key |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yo Banana Boy |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flying Emperor |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Surprise Boss |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daufuskie Island |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Comely S.) – Comely S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Alpine Princess |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pretty Ana |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Life Talk |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scalable |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dorothy’s Dreams |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Music |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Audacious |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Striking Sparks |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unlimitedpotential |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brigade Commander |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liberte de Bayeux |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sorority Prank |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Have You Heard |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
I See You Lookin |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Modica |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Life and Light |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Monopoly Man |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smile Mon |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.