Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tail of Whoa |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Slug Bug |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
By Request |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Desired Fantasies |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crown Thyme Queen |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
R Two R Badfit |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ziah Y G |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Waver |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Doctor Tink |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Euro Tracking |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bricktown Brown |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whip |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sedaris |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Headedtothestars |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Send Off |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ready |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gospel Fabulous |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Macy Red |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Lips Houlihan |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miz Rithym |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gospel Freely |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Starburst |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Suitable |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Little Prince |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Verb |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hard Candy |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cabot |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
W G Second to None |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Big Haas |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seven Devils Road |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Milford |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Night Passage |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Computing Champ |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Social Sooner |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cherokee Sunrise |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Flatter Me Daily |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Breakable Code |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lake Bee |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister Wayside |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salt Creek Kid |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Frigerator |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Eakly |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Saturdays |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bobwhite Bobby |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heir to Greatness |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shamayim |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbacoa |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Math Mystery |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Change It Up |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Claret Beret |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Catale Winemixer |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moro Lingerie |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beautiful Judge |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
We’ll Do It Live |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.