Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Vegas Black Jack |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wistucky |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Walstib |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Orizzonte |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anthonian |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vegas Black Jack |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paint Baller |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
General Issue (FR) |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ahandfulofcandy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Curl Girl |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Curl Girl |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Catching Heat |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Colonial Rose |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tonalite |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mustang Lady |
2.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Curlin’s Magic |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pink Moon |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Asian Matriarch |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Like You |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corkage Fee |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Motown Mika |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Jeopardy |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Sister Sue |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Itsablingthing |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Sense |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Vulcan |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kant Beat the Rock |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Metallic Man |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Atta Boy Anthony |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Metatron’s Muse |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Emerald Express |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bayou Colonel |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Iceatude |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mugsy Malone |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Basscoat |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Commando Joe |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Appeal Denied |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lady Riley |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kuku |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honeybeebobbie |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glorious Musings |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
What If |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chapter and Verse |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spot On Cookie |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Duck |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Protonica |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Johny’s Fireball |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Johny’s Fireball |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
King Curlin |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Camp Hope |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Idratherbeblessed |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liar’s Poker |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Better Bet |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cowboy Justice (GB) |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clyde’s Got a Gun |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bakwena |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Native Shaman |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lincoln Highway |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rock’n a Halo |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
16 |
16 |
Wind Twist |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Quadra Island |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Baba Voss |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Saint in the City |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Intermittent Fast |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marmalade Skye |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Intermittent Fast |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divine Gal |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mila Junes |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Big Calhouna |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Progeny |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Balladry |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Hangin On |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mister Moscato |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Patch O’Brien |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twirling Troillet |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mister Moscato |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cowboy Image |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Thanks Frank |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Free Rambling Man |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Only Frank Knows |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roundball Rock |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Bachman |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Unworkable |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sultry Lass |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reagan’s Flame |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amber Cascade |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Cat’s Cave |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starlight Love |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ichiban |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Three Coats |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mrs. Revere S.) – Mrs. Revere S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Kehoe Beach |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Simply in Front |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Buchu |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pin Up Betty |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pounce |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Poolside With Slim (IRE) |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sanctify |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Minoushka (GB) |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dancing N Dixie |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pharoah’s Wine |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chilled |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Breezing Along |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Maxisuperfly |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Neon Icon |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Adrasteia |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Clark S. Presented By Norton Healthcare) – Clark S. Presented By Norton Healthcare
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Red Route One |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Rattle N Roll |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Rattle N Roll |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Most Wanted |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crupi |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rattle N Roll |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hit Show |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Red Route One |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cooke Creek |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Aspen |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Uno Mas Bourbon |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Piroli |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bolzy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bermuda Blitz |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Akinmusire |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Steppe |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stay Frosty |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Le Chiffre |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Messi the Great |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Skynet |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gunner Glacken |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Unionista |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Lambros |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fully Volatile |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Special Caliber |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
My King Air |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.