Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Grey Ace |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Math Tutor |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Apple Jax |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
3 |
Georgia Magic |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grey Ace |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Munden |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1A |
8 |
Griffin’s Wharf |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seeker’s Hope |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cada Dia Mejor |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Accelerina |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baroness Bourbon |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Duchess of Destin |
3.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Laoban |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lem Me Drink |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Hazel |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Accelerina |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alley’s Song |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jay’s Love |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Burning Munny |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Vision |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Papa Paulie P |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Damage |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Monomoy Beach |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burning Munny |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Dosser |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Solo N in Love |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whiskey Frens |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
J D Factor |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Messi the Magician |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scat Tu Tap |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violent Swing |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Your Mission |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alpha Sonny |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Union Express |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Prince of Truth |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Gaga’s Hamsome |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Central Casting |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Melancia |
2.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yayi Nikolle |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Esther’s Salad |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady of Mercia |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Aerialist |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Special |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Houlton |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Accidental Bid |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good as He Gets |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
True Connection |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glint |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creek |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
First Trumpet |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Active Duty |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fall Highweight S.) – Fall Highweight S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Giant Mischief |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dean Delivers |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Top Gunner |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Chow |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runninsonofagun |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Yoda |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twenty Four Mamba |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Downtownchalybrown |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Witty |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Lady Mine |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
3 |
Sarir |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Patty Brown Eyes |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gorgeous Girl |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Killy Start |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patricia Ann |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
7 |
My Girl Jal |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Gridlock |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Barnstorming |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Confabulation |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Uncorrelated |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Register |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tomacon |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Az U Chase Me |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Victory Dash |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Noble Huntsman |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Berning Beauty |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frizzante |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.