Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Redemption Time | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Ending | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Black Iron | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laughnowcrylater | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gorilla Trek | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Man | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Season Fighter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Squall | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Tambo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Asternia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya Showers | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tambo | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Squall | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Little Song | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gloriette | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kachow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tahoe Sunrise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Target | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Splash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Background | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expensive Cut | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pike Place | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outlier | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camp David | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Starlet | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Chica Arma | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Candy Cause | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chica Arma | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Days Sober | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Starlet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redheadedstranger | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starcourt | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Pom Pom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Marriage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bella Estrela | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cruise Missile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Kalamoh | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pate | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boltoro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Luck | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evocation | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Casino Annie | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Anointed of God | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Neom Beach | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Federalism | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Retro | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Walkn | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uphill Dance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make the Boys Wink | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breezing Along | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | School Dance | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Best Cupcake | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sara Mia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Amazon Queen | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Work of Fiction | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ichiban | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starlight Love | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Proctor Street | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Samay (PER) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyana | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Golden Irish | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gerlin’s Empire | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Equal Success | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Into the Fray | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keyana | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kinzie Queen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Marinera | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tifeye | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Bern | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Campaign Promises | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What’s Her Number | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | What’s Her Number | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marmo | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mia Marcela | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Attitude | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ash Wednesday | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adalene | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wowsers | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mink Stole | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No What Ifs | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taka | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Falls City S.) – Falls City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enclosure | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Loved | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarifa | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quatro Y Vinte (URU) | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Icon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Mischief | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peignoir | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lexa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enclosure | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightline | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Lightline | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold My Bourbon | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tour Player | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Linebacker | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldbrick | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Line of Scrimmage | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aleman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elegant Trip | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Echo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lou’s Legacy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Footprint | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon’s Fault | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moonlight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hall of Fame | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Prince of Power | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Multitask | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Cardinal S.) – Cardinal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Implicated | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Regent (GB) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stir Crazy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quality Star | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harvey’s Princess | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreaming of Mo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Lute | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adrasteia | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Itwillbefun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Breezzy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What About Q | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maclean’s Lullaby | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Scorecard | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jane Payne | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Glory | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Standbyfortakeoff | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getting After It | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theatrix | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starship Refund | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Route Sensation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flying Delilah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.