Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Custom Sunshine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarkington Girl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beulah K | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Betonya | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dee’s Lil Fool | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kat’s Princess | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Everlyn’s Angel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontforgetrdreams | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five Leaf Clover | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nownowdancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Quality | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crushed It | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call My Banker | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luna Vieja | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Reg | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You’re On Mute | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donegal Dreamer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All About Croge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Ronnie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cat Daddy’s Cat | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Eddie A | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Deelite | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Guilty | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Hit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lt. Tent | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Last Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Payroll | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Country Humor | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Beast | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | B D Envisionist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Longleggedlaverne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Need Some Money | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz a Country Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosy Edge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honorary Guest | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Czar’s Ballerina | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Bo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Hype | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miz Jameson | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wanna Winna | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Cowboy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taysom | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kajun Karma | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Road | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic Sun | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Bird | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Napoleonic Code | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cantstealmythunder | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliant Colors | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Becca | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Carmelina | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merrily Rush | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Monica | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Lombriz | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Breakup | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roses n’ Chrome | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dees Little Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Play Mo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctored Deal | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Gabriel | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballinonabudjet | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Venn | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Breeze | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Water | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Contraband | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Father Goose | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | William Gustavo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vobiscum | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bobby Merlot | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Windtapper Win | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Friend’s Do Care | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Run | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Tough | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A True Target | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El It | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hay Diddle Diddle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cool Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.