Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fun to Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet Red Sky | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billie Cee | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Airforce Lightning | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bullet Baby | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncork It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unstable Prince | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiwanaku | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Jimmy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sant’ Antimo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam the Brave | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kattath | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapsasional | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protege | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Gamblers Tail | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Battle | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Protege | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bebedouro | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On My Honor | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeca Diabo | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocketeightyeight | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Chablis | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Jersey Tuff | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiquita Mosca | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tortuga Island | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ella Frances | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Default | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cocktail Cutie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Gold | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Kitty Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sequin Lady | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Punchy Girl | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Home | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mirth ‘n Merriment | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Complicated | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mercedes | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cumberland Falls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Drip d’Oro | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Memories | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arrogates Spirit | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Transcendental | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Boss | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Express Cruiser | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sixwillberich | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Criminal Defense | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feathers Road | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Soupersilverdollar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innovator | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Lottery Win | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Innovator | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingsmere | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Moment | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’oro Boy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sinister Smile | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barnes | 1.20 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolutely Hot | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Counter Elite | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Caliente | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Antique Silver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sally O’Malley | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Kisses | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Puedo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hush It Honey | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play Good Pay Good | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes to Champagne | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Lover | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Red | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nay V Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Enchanted | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruthless Rua | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charriere | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Racer | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Martini | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altered Shot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gun Barrel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Air It Out | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rope a Dope | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucchesi | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Luke | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chances Taken | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thezelenskyyfactor | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Munyhungry | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free America | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Charge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Odorico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grand Illusion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Noah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.