Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sunday Spirit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tricolour |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Double Your Money |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Humble Joe |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Missouri River |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Exclusive Dancer |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Takemetothemoon |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Financial District |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tony’s Mo |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whoosh |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Carnaby |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Master of Tweets |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fridayswithmurray |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brother Vinny |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Winner |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marchin Into April |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lotta Charlie |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ohio Joe |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Captain |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Jackson Road |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Curlin Gunner |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Earl of Dassel |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ike’s Gamble |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amore d’Oro |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Onlygodcanjudgeme |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lotsa Luck |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Splendor Beauty |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Rewards |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
New Commission |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hoku |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amatteroftime |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brooklyn Strong |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Level Up |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Simovitch |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vine Jet |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Book Runner |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Zap Motion |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Act |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rackataptap |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heart Light |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chip’s Friend |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grand Pick |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Awesome Launch |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mucho Macho Eddie |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jo Jo Katz |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carnivore |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ourdaydreaminggirl |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wouldja Couldja |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hold Your Breath |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Taliesin |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Anna Bella |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moonblaze |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lily’s Time |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nezuko |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frosted Lace |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maggie Mischief |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Global Steve |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beyondexpectations |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Son of Thor |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Just Cheesy |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Centaur Central |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leo’s Legacy |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Encrypt |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
El Medianoche |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dear Chairman |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Military Hero |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
We Miss Neil |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Cool Million |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
L Golden Boy |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Soze |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yo Yo Candy |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Colton |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ninja Prize |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enforcer |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Supreme Law |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Boys Answer |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Power Agenda |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bella Queen |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Girlfromouterspace |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Supream |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turn On the Charm |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Southampton Dock |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lullaby Land |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boss Like Beth |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amaterasu |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Ellary |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Namora |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Private Credit |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swans Island |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast Gal |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Treasure Peace |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leftover Sushi |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wiki Lio |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Echo Lake |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Girl’s No Joke |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sister Eve |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Five Star Fran |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Victoriousvictoria |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.