Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Double Your Money |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Humble Joe |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tricolour |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Financial District |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunday Spirit |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Missouri River |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Takemetothemoon |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Exclusive Dancer |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whoosh |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tony’s Mo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fridayswithmurray |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Master of Tweets |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Captain |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brother Vinny |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marchin Into April |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lotta Charlie |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carnaby |
2.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Winner |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ohio Joe |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Curlin Gunner |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Curlin Gunner |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Earl of Dassel |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jackson Road |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amore d’Oro |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ike’s Gamble |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Onlygodcanjudgeme |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lotsa Luck |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Splendor Beauty |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vine Jet |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hoku |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
New Commission |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Simovitch |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amatteroftime |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brooklyn Strong |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Level Up |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Book Runner |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Rewards |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rackataptap |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zap Motion |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Act |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Awesome Launch |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mucho Macho Eddie |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chip’s Friend |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grand Pick |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jo Jo Katz |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carnivore |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heart Light |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ourdaydreaminggirl |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Taliesin |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Anna Bella |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maggie Mischief |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hold Your Breath |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wouldja Couldja |
4.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lily’s Time |
8.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moonblaze |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frosted Lace |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nezuko |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Beyondexpectations |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Son of Thor |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Centaur Central |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leo’s Legacy |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Military Hero |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
We Miss Neil |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
L Golden Boy |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
El Medianoche |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Global Steve |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dear Chairman |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Encrypt |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Just Cheesy |
6.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Cool Million |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Supreme Law |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Colton |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Boys Answer |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ninja Prize |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yo Yo Candy |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enforcer |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soze |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Power Agenda |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lullaby Land |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Southampton Dock |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Supream |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Girlfromouterspace |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turn On the Charm |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boss Like Beth |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella Queen |
3.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amaterasu |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Ellary |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
The Girl’s No Joke |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leftover Sushi |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Private Credit |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Namora |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wiki Lio |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Echo Lake |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swans Island |
5.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast Gal |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Girl’s No Joke |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sister Eve |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Treasure Peace |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Victoriousvictoria |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Five Star Fran |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.