Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moral | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Optical | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McAfee | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greatdayforhockey | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chris’s Revenge | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Solo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Countthebrave | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. P. Race | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Hayes Strike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J. P. Race | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderian | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mowins | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Emi | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ethereal Road | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Like Magic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Elvis | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Cruiser | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter John | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr McGregor | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dewy’s Beast | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star of Wonder | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donegal Destiny | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parchment Party | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch Ride | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vitality | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lambeth | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Joy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fayette Spirit | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Publicity | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Finn McSorley | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sully | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demetrius | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Techne | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Nation | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Seven | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alrasikh | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Farm Team | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take Tomorrow | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bisate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Four Top | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sweet Freedom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lookatmybuckle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Lookatmybuckle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barbarina | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hearts United | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bisa | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Baby | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pounds in Town | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Kin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talksalot | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Trading Secrets | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keepsake | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Sugar | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Charm | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Drummer Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Sassy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Game | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whippoorwill | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sight to See | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Bella | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Authentic | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shared Vision | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lost and Found | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Foie Gras | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Undercover | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Undercover | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Shot | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Mitole | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tennesseehoneybee | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amy Z | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clique | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Harbor Springs | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lightning Myqueen | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Come as You Are | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C’Est Cheese | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coastal Invasion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Shiesty | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Run Carson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sosua Summer | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joe Shiesty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coppola | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stitched | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Clutch | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charcoal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let My People Go | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bling | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bear River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attache | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Attache | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Journey | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morunning | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glen Airy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Furious Anger | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Trust Daddy | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pursuit of Power | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Rum | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cathedral Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | B Sudd | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Al Ameeq | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.