Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Souper Success | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galvaston | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakoo Makoo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Store | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Banjoman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackteca | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silent Miracle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Day | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamiesta | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for a Fight | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Told It All | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guns n’ Rojas | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heat Merchant | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Name | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Good Joke | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arya’s Quest | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hatrixie Moment | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noyzee Girl | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lillz Star | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensational Sarah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Double Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Red Domi | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bump | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Short Story Long | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dilwaala | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Big Lou | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Deputy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J M R Speedyverdik | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gil’s Folly | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Golden Sunset | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruthless Action | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cup of Kindness | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tabei | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Holiday | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Sunshine | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Belva | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Red | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Gizmo | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leziate | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Kaykay | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | McGill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ada May | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Your Valentino | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Test | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back River | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hyper Angel | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing in Rio | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heard a Ghost | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She Loves | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent and Sinful | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Rider | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clearwater Beach | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Design Diva | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remarkably Human | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spellcheck | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tentomidnight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Shady Well S.) – Shady Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winterberry | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Idol | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic War | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Periwinkle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Signal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess of Storm | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nata Trouble | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Pierre | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancetotherhythm | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Cargo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Into Mischief | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chromeplated Heart | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ol’ Blondie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Seven | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ima Beast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Livin On Luv | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Sunday | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mizzen Ash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Text Me Up | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Umneyaat | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bridge to Nowhere | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gabby Squared | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Eleanor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | T’pring | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.