Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakoo Makoo | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Success | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Store | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galvaston | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Banjoman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackteca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silent Miracle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for a Fight | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Day | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamiesta | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Told It All | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guns n’ Rojas | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heat Merchant | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Name | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Good Joke | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noyzee Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensational Sarah | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arya’s Quest | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lillz Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hatrixie Moment | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baytown Bump | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Double Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bump | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Deputy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gil’s Folly | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dilwaala | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Short Story Long | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J M R Speedyverdik | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Red Domi | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Big Lou | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ruthless Action | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tabei | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Sunshine | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cup of Kindness | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Gizmo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Belva | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Holiday | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leziate | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Red | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Kaykay | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Sunset | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Your Valentino | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heard a Ghost | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McGill | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ada May | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Test | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing in Rio | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back River | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hyper Angel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clearwater Beach | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent and Sinful | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spellcheck | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Design Diva | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Rider | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tentomidnight | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remarkably Human | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Loves | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Shady Well S.) – Shady Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winterberry | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nata Trouble | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Idol | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Periwinkle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancetotherhythm | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Pierre | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Signal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic War | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Princess of Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Cargo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chromeplated Heart | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ol’ Blondie | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Seven | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Into Mischief | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ima Beast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Livin On Luv | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Sunday | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mizzen Ash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Eleanor | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridge to Nowhere | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Umneyaat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gabby Squared | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T’pring | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Text Me Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.