Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All About Tonite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiverton | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothdini | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talk of the Town | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Itzcoatl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outworkallday | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap On By | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tigger Attack | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hexcel | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Cut | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joeybones | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | All Saints | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Passing Judgment | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Coolness | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Court Jester | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | American Dollars | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | House Bourbon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Knockalittlelouder | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mokings | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackson D | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Single Shot | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Check Me Out | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Star Byfar | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cypress Gold | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fran’s Star | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Go Brother Go | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.) – Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Faith | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Justice | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Princess | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Rags | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Precious Money | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quite the Catch | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Serving Time (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Make a Million | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elite Heat (GB) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Shot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Terra Bella | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Funny Lady | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Give Her Another | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Escovedo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coeur Rouge | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Small Town Heroine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beamer | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissin Riches | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flintlock | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Commanded | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maria Moon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Grand | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Acknowledge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rayden and Remi | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blondate | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Dubaian Money | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Thief | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Water Tester | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Corporal Paul | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hesper | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cajun Coaster | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Randy Daytona | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mardi Gras Empire | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Half | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jonas Grumby | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | M L Brody’s Gem | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gabbys Bling | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gavea (GER) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Austere | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike When Ready | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paint Me Perfect | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Jeopardy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Trail Ridge Road | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inventing | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Embrace Me | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gastown | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jocasta | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Class | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Andrew Ney Memorial S.) – Andrew Ney Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bron and Brow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not On Herb | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hi Yah | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Dinero | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clear as a Bele | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mike J | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tdzshininluckystar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Sugar | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sono | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.) – Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Allnight Moonlight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Behemah Star | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Highland Creek | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Cheese | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Train | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benoit | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdzshininluckystar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mangum | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wise Verdict | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeffrow | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gray’s Fable | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Create Trouble | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evan Harlan | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean City | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ole Crazy Bone | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Machine Gun Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Verstappen | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out of Deductions | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highestdistinction | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Masqueparade | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Took the Money | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Baby | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howling Time | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kennel Club | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (John Valene Memorial S.) – John Valene Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free Like a Girl | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly a Test | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accommodate Eva | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Wicked | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Farmer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightofmaine | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wonderrand | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saved by Grace | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vale Male | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olivia G | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.