Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mezcalifornia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ranch Life | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnetic Beach | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Master | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centimorgan | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Royalty | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alltail | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Dixie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Night | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blaze On | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Glenda | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Town Sis | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Say Cheese | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Royal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chica Chula | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Rhodes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now and Later | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sagittarius | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gatlinburg | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Louie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Melody | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | What’s Up Doc | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quebrancho | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ode to Balius | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Have Dreams | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Enough | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redeposit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Levee Was Dry | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stinger Bee | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summonyourcourage | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vdaytothetenacious | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapping Strike | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Added Mischief | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holster | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | To My Taste | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Call | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ripassare | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Shezalittlestinker | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Brazilian Girl | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Shot | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Front War | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bundchen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Coed | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Beachy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redo | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fifth of May | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zappera | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argentinidad | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Miss Susan B | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yammy Yammy Bella | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Freak City | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harrodsburg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banishing | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wico (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banjo Chris | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Underhill’s Tab | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Groveland | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahaamel | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Shot | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sea Vista | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Quality | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooting | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yinzer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tomasello | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Restless Renegade | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Putting Eagle | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Vekoma Kid | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Solid Left | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tartarian | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wise Decision | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knicks Glory | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aerate | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Please | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Chilukki S.) – Chilukki S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Sharp | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taxed | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pigalle | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oeuvre | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Spa | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positano Sunset | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imonra | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Attache | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Banned for Life | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Agoo | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trust Issues | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk It | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justifreak | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colorado Cruiser | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | President Z | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Riot | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Rider | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ajaayb | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Commonwealth Turf S.) – Commonwealth Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dashman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Herchee | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evade (FR) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lagynos | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Prince | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piper’s Factor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Telescopic | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take It | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Girl Math | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seraphia | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Gamble | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calamity | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bottomless Mimosa | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madeline’s Promise | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lobby Rendezvous | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ceebee | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heart’s Compass | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.