Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bank Frenzy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Legacy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Moon | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun It | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Magnolia Midnight | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Unity | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Scaramanga | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s Pride | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Super Chief | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Jemography | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Fiery Heart | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Central | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Land d’Oro | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Final Denile | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Kolomio | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Petrolo | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hagrid’s Flame | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Rock the Weekend | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | A Lister | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run With Honor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Phoenix | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Clarity | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Dragon | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twohonestmischief | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klimt Master | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gunman Jayvo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Renew the Blue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Volatile Situation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Kartrite | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skytown | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riff | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outsource | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Dead Aim | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roofer | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Liam | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Million Stories | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lets Fight | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Centaur Central | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John’s in Charge | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fines Creek | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frame Up | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Cumberland Blues | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Arrebato | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Ski Country | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Styner | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mystic Night | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Winter’s Ghost | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Mr. Swagger | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Co Conspirator | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Athena Beach | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khali Magic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brown Suga Babe | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Girl | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Shea D Lady | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Rocket | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lisa’s Vision | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Antonio of Venice | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Sullivan | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | General Banker | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Man | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cicciobello | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B D Saints | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Kraft | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rodeo Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Mama | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wave | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Notmysteppingstone | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Maggie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ah Ca Ira | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Run Don’t Walk | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evelyn’s War | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Words | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puttin in the Work | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infastuation | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T D Magee | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Instant Vision | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.