Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guaponess | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brazillionaire | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luv Ya Bye Bye | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summerstateofmind | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Days Ahead | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helms Deep | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notion to Tapit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’sarollingstone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joya Del Sur | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Grace | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie the Goat | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Girl | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Houlihan | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subway Susie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mission Artemis | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerness K | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Bit Risky | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bangkok Bob | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buoyant | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Have a Party | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chipotle | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jerry’s Out | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mose Perfect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Last Mission | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Storm | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uninvited Guest | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Penny Loafer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collaborate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bandits Warrior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Averie Lynn | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hidewright Away | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashlee’s Ring | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sapphire Beauty | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Princess | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Mine | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Temper | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Molly of Stratford | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kelly’s Party Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gem Runner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wall Street Magic | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carol Said No | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Airo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Boss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | New Boots | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Making Mischief | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Centsation | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nit Witness | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buckin’ Right | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Must Be Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolice Vita | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Jardani | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derbyness | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Alvy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Little Lance | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Blue Kingdom | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Secret Zipper | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angel Art | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bondiva | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shine On Moon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Odds | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kilo Road | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ribbonsinherhair | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coracle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Sunshine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Blue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Dance | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yumyum Eat Em Up | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitty’s Pretty | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shake It Baby | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lilly Lightning | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maddie Ten | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spoils of War | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.