Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sam’s Promise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game and Gormley | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prix de West | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimtomaniac | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Toga | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Warrior | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Cause | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tucker the Grump | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Trip | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexington River | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Boy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Winston Wolf | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cliff Diver | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Composer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baileys Bro | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Four Sevens | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Guilt | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Declaration | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Gem | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mallory Unbridled | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mallory’s Ocean | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitofaqueen | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dat’s a Goode One | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Thirteen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chuchi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take It to Court | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double Gem | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Candy Kisses | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vincent’s Gem | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spooky Guitar | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gypsyroselee | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Anna | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtly Doc | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calaja | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Takin Over | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ann’s Storm | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be a Bandit | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fabs | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cincy’s Anna | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huntleigh | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xcaret | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alliaceous | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luminous Flight | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faded Memories | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Watch This Munny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eli’s Girl | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valtesse | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cato’s Lady | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zing | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wa Wa Wee Wa | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Perfection | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fasted | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nora’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kellys the Boss | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spinning Aces | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Argument | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassi D | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Deal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Halo | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gus’s Dream World | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Redemption | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shake Em Bella | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Age of Reason | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Glow | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahamo | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vianney’s Love | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laryscountrygirl | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gab’s Humor | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whata Moon | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | School Teacher | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Duck’s Money | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gottotry Mischief | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Rosie T | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.