Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bourbon Life |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Harvard |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cashmeup |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vittorio |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer in Aiken |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chryso Alogo |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Talkscheap |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Trafalgar Shore |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cactus Flower |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wildcatjustice |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jump Into the Fire |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yolo Calls |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Slam Diego |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inner Harbor |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baby Gundin |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Man of Mischief |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Storm the Streets |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Morally |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winter Creek |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Golden Ice |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Haunted Flame |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stunning Bruno |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Words of Fortune |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Lee |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Financial Whiz |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adios Kid |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Remaining Nameless |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mister Baby |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Miss Hebrides |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Autumn Chill |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Catching Heat |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cararra |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bah Humbug |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Standoutsensation |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Up the Creek |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sombra Dorada |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sombra Dorada |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sharper Gal |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Teardrop Tiara |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Escapade |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sarissa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Royal Blood |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Elliott Moon |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fancy Prance |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honeycomb |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Gilded Craken |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Count Dracula |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
General Mathis |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kissalot |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beyond Best |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Channel |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Huge Bigly |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
The Prince’s Spur |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Winters Lion |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Multiplication |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Parking Lot Pours |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fearless Lady |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ez Tree Ates |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dimensionality |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outrage |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anonima |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiger Division |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Scrupulous |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bourbon Serengeti |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bella Haze |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
These Apples |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scrupulous |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gourmet |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Romantic Dancer |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hattie Bloom |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beach Bunny |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zapple |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rubia |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Navy Seal (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Boy Tony |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Royal Sandrin |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thomas Aquinas |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer in Adriane |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lips Say Bliss |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bourbon Boss |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Always Above |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sea Singer (IRE) |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Telescopic |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Quokka |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
D Day Reunion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Laughnowcrylater |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Fort Thomas |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Legacy Defined |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gate to Paradise |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Upon a Star |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lord I Wonder |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kiss Me Again |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Here’syourtrouble |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cathcart |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Legacy Defined |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Go Go |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lunar Seas |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catchphrase |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.