Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 7 | Sharp Smile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Kiss Me Slow | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 6 | Keepthedreamalive | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Vanilla Sundae | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2B | 4 | She’s Fascinating | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ice Cream Boat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Delicious Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yo Daddy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Rain | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Vino | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | California Sober | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hittheroadjak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | First Class Cat | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Rose | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Challenge | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ariana Rye | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirteen Red Flags | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | D Day Sky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strapped | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys Code | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Tenor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solo Empire | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Don’t Stop | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torpedo Run | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Open Flame | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Pawtucketshuffle | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Mischievous Trick | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Olivia’s Wish | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Furry Fox | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Silent Sandy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Bourbon Blanket | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 4 | I Heard Somethings | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Classicals Finale | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Fifi La Fume | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toxic Girl | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gringotts | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | It Takes Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Jackson’s Dixie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Weekend | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Lady Kim | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Funny Bizness | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everlys Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My First Love | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gringotts | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willful Desire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mybronxbaby | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mybronxbaby | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gone and Forgotten | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Cara | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Empress | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dangerous Driver | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Very Satisfactory | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nilruc | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Outlaw | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shakin the Belle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dangerous Driver | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Boy Butch | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Glory | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt d’Plata | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble One | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lcgolucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.