Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moven Van | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Clubman | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | County Judge | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texan Farmer | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ru Mor Starter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lewis Bere (FR) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Ripped | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Duanes Sonney Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smackdown | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smackzilla | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Smackzilla | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Jorgie | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Marvin | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isaidwhatisaid | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suppose You Dream | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R D C Posse | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Cider | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Even Terms | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Cut | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peppermint Candy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinner’s Sin | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lea Me Be | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Stooper | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thetruthisthetruth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Gee | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Morena | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsonlymoneyhoney | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eutychia | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Connection | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Niki | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Witsec | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Atomic Tone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pudding | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mysterious Tale | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sidetown | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darnquick | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clay’s Black Opal | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Hood | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadowless | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dose’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naval Woman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskenforaraise | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Fool | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caleb’s Candy | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frannie’s Wish | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Two R Badfit | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Two R Badbaker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Fire | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wec Keah | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancininthecountry | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Claire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stacy’s Rare Find | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Bird | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Fe | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grove St. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reseda | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Birdie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ninety Two | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Muse | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Flat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlins Incharge | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lear | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Larry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mumayaz | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rahm | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copper Storm | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laridae | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Edified | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m No Joke | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bling Mountain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Halmstad | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brahms Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Okie Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.