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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mercy Mercy 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 La Tourista 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Rainbow Trout 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lois 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Gangster Rap 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Luna T 4.50 4 7-1
8 8 Creme Caramel 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lulinda’s Heart 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Heart Light 0 0-1
He’s a Genius 0 0-1
5 5 Creative Copy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bunny Bonus 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Catti La Belle 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Heart Light 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 More Ransom 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Obstinate 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 La de Peluche 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 End of the Rainbow 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Winbori 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Napolitan 1.60 3.6 7-1
7 7 Her Ticket to Ride 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Gwen Stacy 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Faux Pas 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 E T’s Evasive Moon 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Four Days Early 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Buchies Packin 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Fully Committed 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Splitting Stones 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 D Day 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maximus Angelicus 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Carousel Queen 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Alyvia Mavis 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mary Loves Louie 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Vague 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Fur Elise 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Miss Smarty Z 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Au Some Warrior 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Reelin N Dealin 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Okie Den Den 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dancing On Air 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Regalpains 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fenton Forever 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tempting Lady 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Distraction 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Angel of Harlem 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Lady Sriracha 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Jess’s Moment 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Keystormrising 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Spanish Girl 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Daisy Believes 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She Can Scat 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vanellope 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Lady Robo 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lost Love 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Banana Split 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sensible Marriage 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dazzy 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Xtra Extraordinary 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Reassess 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Melody’s Kiss 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Jody’s Ruby 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Betsy Is the Gal 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Separate Ways 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 One America 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Starlord 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Secret Saturday 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Optimistic Nate 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Shake the Gold 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Cisco Kid 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dos de Oros 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Checking Boxes 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Taporical 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 O’Brien 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Crack the Code 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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