Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mer Soleil | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Luna Patina | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Guilty | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worries Unfounded | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wampy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Margaret P | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mer Soleil | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promaja | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marley’s Ghost | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Heart | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Kitten | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looking for Water | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Talia | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congress Hall | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always Forward | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matoula | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bond’s Belle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Granuaile | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Head Italian | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dropping Lemons | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sippin’ Time | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Lotta Moxie | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Honey Bee | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tia Mayin | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cundi | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troubled Dreams | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scott Twentytwo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calle de Oro | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notmyfirstrodeo | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millibar | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Work for Peace | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Dude | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | One Way Traffic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Renegade | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shape Note | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Agent | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minister for Magic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bigdaddysboy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paco the Taco Man | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Order Ofthe Kettle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Box N Ben | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Fish | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Houghton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Skippy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dance for Green | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glamorous | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intel Agent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | X Gene | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paperback Edition | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Margaret | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Honey | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anxious Heart | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never More Valor | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lachicafortequila | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rascallion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two by Two | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rhumjar | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Yodel E. A. Who | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sagrada Ray | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walk Away Joe | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Dance | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hornbeam | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Brad | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Hat Hanna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Many Kisses | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dead Sexy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Cap | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Bay | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Cross | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midsummers Eve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lottie Deno | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatsyourbigidea | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shining Spirit | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Debt Relief | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bailintin | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Faze | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Temptation | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.