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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candi Girl 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Misprint 3.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Bayernee 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Tinki Abarrio 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Warda 2.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Whatta World 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Denver’s Alley 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Mywifeknowsitall 4.50 7.9 15-1
2 2 Nana’s Corn Muffin 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Euphima (ARG) 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star Performance 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 West Bank 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 8 Iron Shield 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 For the Thrill 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mrs. Cash Man 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 New Baby 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Burn It All 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Don’t Tell Amy 6.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Sonny’s Goldenlady 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paynted Blue 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Frisson 4.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Banneker 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bernardo’s Legacy 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Urge to Merge (IRE) 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Insisting 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Wine Empire 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Personal Drama 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 El Tekilero 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Statesman 0 0-1
7 7 Forever Now 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Statesman 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Shot in the Dark 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Eleven Bravo 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cool Intentions 1.80 3.2 6-1
3 3 Wordondastreet 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Flag Officer 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Gianluca Be Lucky 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dr. Perry 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Souper Sunshine 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Midnight Chaos 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Warlord Cruzan 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Forty Flash 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Don’t Answer 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fort Attitude 30.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Hay Moon 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Haberdashery 15.00 5 9-1
11 11 Lukas Prince 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Dundie 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Juvenile Fillies Sprint S.) – Juvenile Fillies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wiggle An’ Wine 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mrs Worldwide 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Volatiled 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bella Cleopatra 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Valiant Kiss 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 La Gioconda 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Insurmountable 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 One More Duke 30.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Call Me a Cab 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Grayscale 1.60 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mischievous Han 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Commendatore 2.50 6.1 11-1
8 8 Adversary 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Eminent Power 30.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Vanilla Franco 6.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Global Prosperity 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blaze of Color 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stroke of Midnight 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Whiting Field 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Downing Street 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Oconee Life 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Gemstone Warrior 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Chromotion 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Little Steven 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Guaio 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Winooski 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hurricane Nelson 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Asher’s Edge 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Esperon 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Awesome Crusader 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Speed Figures 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Dropkick Murphy 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 David’s Songs 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Eastbostonbenny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Secret Chat 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rhum Saint Esprit 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Avant Glory 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Franks Mimi 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Raging Fury 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Makizan 4.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Belts ‘n Brooks 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Black Fury 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Morgan Point 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lightning Tones 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Awesome Train 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 David’s Rose 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Amor Y Control 3.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Whiteknuckleflyer 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lovin Makes Cents 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Magic Moonstar 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bullock 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dove in Charge 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 No Action 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Streaking Grey 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Irish Victory 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 R Firebird 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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