Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montego Bay | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Out too Late (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long Legged Queen | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Girl | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montego Bay | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Nona | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandi’s Satire | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Tricks | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Endless Love | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shop Lifting | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swinging Solo | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Key Point | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tivy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Move | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toxic Gray | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swinging Solo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Notebook S.) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Be | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Shoot It True | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In the Chase | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soontobeking | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man in Finance | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenny Be | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three B’s | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phoebeinwonderland | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street View | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Ginny | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promdatebonnie | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In All My Dreams | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Forecast | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solve the Puzzle | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Save Us Melania | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Impression | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sedona | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Buzzy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weigh the Risks | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bells Beach | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miztertonic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slapintheface | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Mike | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your Mission | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ez Roll | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fake Celebrity | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amplitude | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kid Kreesa | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Royal Browne | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame It On Daddy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Sky | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rohan | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bad Larry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hagrid’s Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Final Denile | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commandperformance | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Valenzan Day | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Optic Way | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blake B. | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steady Progress | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commandperformance | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cumberland Blues | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Autumn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starlight Dancer | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just One More | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alittlebitnaughty | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holder Close | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chili Bean | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Natural | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elite Status | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addagirl Addie | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Detonate | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Purpose | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Learning to Fly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Park S.) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Like a Plan | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McDiesel | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack and Jim | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Early Adopter (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manhattan Twist | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Davy Crockett | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Breeze | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Swift | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Pit | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not for Hire | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rock d’Oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Eyed Scout | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spool | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Magical | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Changer | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Je T’adore | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady of Mercia | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bank On Bebe | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hattie Carroll | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Preferred Pal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trulli Magic | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Tiramisu | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Honey in the Bank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miavana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.