Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Khozy My Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darylslittlediablo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Levy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lions Not Sheep | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Creek Louie | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resolutionist | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Once Upon a Dream | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Power Red | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gist | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Devil | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Afternoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twentyone N Change | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now N Later Gator | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turquoise Blue | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Order of Merit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brucelea | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Charles | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Appleseed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking the Bank | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Over Me | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Macho | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Runner | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clearwater Sunset | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Last Thing | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Safe Bet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corredor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What About Jimmy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bigtimeinthecity | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fontes | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Ticktok | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knative Knife | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Very Unlikely | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Gurl | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ninth Island | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Didntseethatcoming | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Y Factor | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Steel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Razors Edge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Hour Queen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | By Request | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frannie’s Wish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Legal Empress | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vestes | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grandsonsam | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leviathan Axe | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrinkle Road | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cole Trickle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wristband | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Herecomestroy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Buck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Lottie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeloadingsistah | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littleeurogirl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy’s a Dandy | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euro Kountry Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | K O American Pie | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reality Check | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Fenix Fly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Tune | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letta’s Legacy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerate Judy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Em | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Avenue | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Cold Lover | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Woods N Water | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Dot | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mach Two | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mind Bolt | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Not Wine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manor Born | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Reid | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.