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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Izzy’s Baby Boy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Creekside 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Fiesty Fist 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Doublediamond Deal 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bind Faith 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Half Again 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Kajun Karma 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Insignis 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ghost Cowboy 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hawaiian Argument 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Putthehammerdown 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Rockall 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lucky’s Secret 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Chief Kimosabi 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cajun Mitole 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Running Ragged 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Yakety Yock 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Seitan 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Deelitesandimsum 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Bella’s Boss 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Louisiana Boss 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Box of Candy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crankshaft 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Adios Carlos 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Slither 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cheatin Charlie 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Gerard 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bisping 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 The Feature 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Donna’s Court 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Ojitos 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Go Cats 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dynamic Sun 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Den’s Good Grace 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Lil Sweet Thang 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 True Crimson 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Pure Malice 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Main Dude 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Stone Alliance 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Midnight Blaze 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nana’s Sweet Girl 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Sammy Sam Sam 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Elwin 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Fern Spirit 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Miss Holy Mischief 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sheza Lunatic 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mopac Traffic 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 This Gray Mischiev 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Son Carlos 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Custom Star 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Whatta Life 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 I’m a Night Train 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tommy Six Fingers 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Gone Solution 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Country Cat Jake 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Billy Bowlegs 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Count On Rain 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 De’ Ans Eighty 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady of Devon 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hauntress 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Katies Factor 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Miss Leona 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Surrey 15.00 9 17-1
7 7 Layla’s Song 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Tenacious Lady 15.00 9 17-1
3 3 Bling It K K 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Debbo 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 La Cantaros 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Scampering Ma’am 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Kat’s Princess 6.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Time to Close 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Shehasanattitude 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Don’t Blink Twice 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 E R’s Mireya 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Midnight Cigarette 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Acesanddiamonds 20.00 12 23-1
10 10 Miss Mo Tom 20.00 12 23-1
11 11 Nanny’s Houdini 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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