Site icon Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dyin a Thirst 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Teh Teh 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hearts Fantasy 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lucky Nea 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Venice Vibe 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Buds N Suds 3.50 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bee Catcher 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hula Candy 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kimmer 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Phosphorescence (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 For A Laugh (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Zalamo (FR) 3.50 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Round in Circles 20.00 1 2-1
3 2 Candyinthemorning 2.50 1 2-1
6 5 She Be Boss 1.80 1 2-1
5 4 Affair 6.00 1 2-1
2 98 Shoot for the Sky 0.00 1 2-1
4 3 Auditory 1.20 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rebalation 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Red Diamond 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 A Real Jewel 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Unwritten Code 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Champagne Camie 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Satoshi 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Inner Beauty (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sunrise Journey 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 El Diablo Rojo 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Playing Hardball 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Superman Shaq 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Grazen Sun 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bag’s Gold 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stormy Samurai 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Soul of Midnight 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rassler 12.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Day At the Track 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sogno Di Vino 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Triple Diamonds 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Giant Luther 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Run Abboudy Run 12.00 1 2-1
12 12 Mr. Machupicchu 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Brahms Mendelssohn 4.50 1 2-1
13 13 Shanaplan 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Notion 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fix It Quick 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ten Figures 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cullen J 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hornsby 6.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Anywho 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cliquish 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tamara 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Sandy Bottom 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Yuki (CHI) 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vitalera (CHI) 15.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 98 Speed Lane 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gracelund Gray 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Real Fire 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Well Into 15.00 1 2-1
12 11 Free and Humble 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sneaker 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ang N Ash 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tahini 10.00 1 2-1
11 10 Leisurewear (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Paris Secret (IRE) 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Yerwanthere (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Charter (GB) 5.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version