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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Venice Vibe 0 0-1
2 2 Buds N Suds 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dyin a Thirst 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hearts Fantasy 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Venice Vibe 0.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Teh Teh 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lucky Nea 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 For A Laugh (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bee Catcher 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hula Candy 4.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Phosphorescence (FR) 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Zalamo (FR) 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Kimmer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Auditory 1.20 1 2-1
5 4 Affair 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 She Be Boss 1.80 1.7 3-1
3 2 Candyinthemorning 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Round in Circles 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 98 Shoot for the Sky 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Champagne Camie 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Unwritten Code 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Inner Beauty (IRE) 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 A Real Jewel 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Red Diamond 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Satoshi 15.00 5 10-1
3 3 Rebalation 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bag’s Gold 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sunrise Journey 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Grazen Sun 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 El Diablo Rojo 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Soul of Midnight 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Stormy Samurai 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Rassler 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Playing Hardball 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Superman Shaq 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cullen J 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fix It Quick 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Anywho 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Big Notion 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Triple Diamonds 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Sogno Di Vino 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Brahms Mendelssohn 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ten Figures 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hornsby 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Day At the Track 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Giant Luther 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mr. Machupicchu 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shanaplan 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sandy Bottom 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tamara 0.80 1.4 3-1
5 5 Anywho 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cliquish 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Vitalera (CHI) 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Yuki (CHI) 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gracelund Gray 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ang N Ash 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sneaker 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Royal Charter (GB) 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Well Into 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Tahini 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Leisurewear (IRE) 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Yerwanthere (IRE) 4.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Free and Humble 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Real Fire 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Paris Secret (IRE) 20.00 8 15-1
10 98 Speed Lane 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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