Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fast Solution | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Moringa | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Confidence | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Clancy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Glow | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lock It Up | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skelly Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zaphod | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ahumado | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Solution | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moral Dilemma | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shako | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammy’s Cruiser | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Magic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splash Master | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Akeela | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Craze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edge of Town | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Take a Stand | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Sue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callie’s Grit | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch This Birdie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Join the Dance | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Selenaia (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take a Stand | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Powerful | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proprietary Trade | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Eagles River | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How’s Ur Attitude | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Powder | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pancake House | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Player | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pancake House | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Wind | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rational Theory | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truthorconsequence | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan Alice | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Adventure | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Classy | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Splendid | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bebsi | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Beach | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Easily Sidetracked | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beaded | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chandon | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | B D’s Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wicked Eyes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pink Dini | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Red Zone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stable Currency | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bless the Broken | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amarth | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizmalice | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eunomia | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Camila Run | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outadore | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Legend | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Masseto (GB) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gilded Ruler | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B D Valeski | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Beat Brian | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtrotanna | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bushido | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Portofino | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | High Front | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fast Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Finster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Liam | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Improbable Journey | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Berley | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | City of Clouds | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iceatude | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huntertown | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chitwood | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Gump | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakin Loose | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bettering | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Decatur | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Mills | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.