Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Confidence | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Glow | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Clancy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lock It Up | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moringa | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skelly Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Solution | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zaphod | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ahumado | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shako | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moral Dilemma | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Splash Master | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Street | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Akeela | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Craze | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Magic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edge of Town | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Sue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch This Birdie | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callie’s Grit | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take a Stand | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Join the Dance | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Selenaia (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Two Eagles River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proprietary Trade | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Powder | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powerful | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pancake House | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Player | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How’s Ur Attitude | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Wind | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Adventure | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Classy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Truthorconsequence | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Beach | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rational Theory | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Pink Dini | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wicked Eyes | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Easily Sidetracked | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beaded | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Splendid | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan Alice | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bebsi | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Zone | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | B D’s Angel | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chandon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amarth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eunomia | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stable Currency | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bless the Broken | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizmalice | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Camila Run | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outadore | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Legend | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Masseto (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B D Valeski | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Beat Brian | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bushido | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Finster | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gilded Ruler | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtrotanna | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portofino | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | High Front | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fast Jack | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Mills | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Berley | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Improbable Journey | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iceatude | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Liam | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bettering | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Gump | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chitwood | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | City of Clouds | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Huntertown | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakin Loose | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Decatur | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.