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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Graywing 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Kid Billy 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Messi the Magician 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Yo Banana Boy 0.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Majestic Tiger 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ragazzo Diabolico 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chileno 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 O P Firecracker 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Certified Loverboy 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Victors Valiant 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Principe d’Oro 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Ice Time 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Whiskey N Soda 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Concerto 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tour Jete 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Spooky Lady 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Munny Grab 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bernt Again 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Snowy Evening 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Malu 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Being Betty 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Brocknardini 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 The Shoe Lady 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Concorde Spirit 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Tomschickenfingers 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Isomarshall 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Humstinger 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 This Time Yes 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Maximus Monster 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Braca 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Drive Thru 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Hard Circle 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 My Man Magoo 4.00 2 4-1
5 4 Beach Invasion 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Nod to Tran 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 McHale 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Flat to Da Mat 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 After Taxes (IRE) 4.50 4.7 9-1
10 10 Snare 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Regal Alliance 50.00 5.8 11-1
1 9 Then What Time 10.00 8.5 16-1
1A 14 Foil 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Apple Jax 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Grey Ace 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Twain 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Parkerness 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Heard On Thestreet 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Good Reunion 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Watasha 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Two for Charging 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 King Moonracer 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Midnight Worker 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Devil’s Cay 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chief Ron 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Natural Harbor 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Secret Rules 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Backside Buzz 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Commerce Comet 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Squire Creek 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Sagamore Mischief 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Leddy 50.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Synthesis 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Biz Biz Buzz 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Fluid Situation 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Boat’s a Rockin 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Gaslight Dancer 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Live High Live Low 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Barzini 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Charging 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Seaver 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Dr Oseran 20.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Surveillance 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Java Buzz 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Full Moon Madness 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bolt of Aurum 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ridgewood Runner 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Licorice 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mo Kreesa 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Resistance Futile 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Revivalism 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Tino in Toga 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Miles and Miles 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Romeo Void 4.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Daytona Moonshine 3.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Bookitwithhaddad 10.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Rocked Out 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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