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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Banana Boy 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Kid Billy 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Graywing 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Majestic Tiger 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Messi the Magician 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ragazzo Diabolico 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chileno 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 O P Firecracker 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Certified Loverboy 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Whiskey N Soda 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Principe d’Oro 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Victors Valiant 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Ice Time 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Malu 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Munny Grab 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 The Shoe Lady 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Brocknardini 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Midnight Concerto 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Tour Jete 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Being Betty 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bernt Again 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Spooky Lady 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Snowy Evening 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Concorde Spirit 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Drive Thru 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Tomschickenfingers 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Humstinger 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Braca 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Isomarshall 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 This Time Yes 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Maximus Monster 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Apple Jax 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Hard Circle 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 8 My Man Magoo 4.00 1.5 3-1
13 13 Grey Ace 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 After Taxes (IRE) 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 5 McHale 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Flat to Da Mat 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Nod to Tran 8.00 2.6 5-1
1A 14 Foil 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Snare 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 9 Then What Time 10.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Twain 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Beach Invasion 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Regal Alliance 50.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Two for Charging 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Watasha 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Parkerness 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Heard On Thestreet 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Devil’s Cay 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Good Reunion 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 King Moonracer 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Midnight Worker 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Natural Harbor 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Squire Creek 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Backside Buzz 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Chief Ron 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Commerce Comet 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Secret Rules 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Synthesis 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Sagamore Mischief 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Leddy 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Bolt of Aurum 2.00 1 2-1
11 11 Full Moon Madness 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Live High Live Low 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Biz Biz Buzz 3.50 2.1 4-1
14 14 Surveillance 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Boat’s a Rockin 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Fluid Situation 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Gaslight Dancer 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Seaver 8.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Ridgewood Runner 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Charging 12.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Barzini 15.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Java Buzz 20.00 14 26-1
9 9 Dr Oseran 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Licorice 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Daytona Moonshine 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Romeo Void 4.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Revivalism 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mo Kreesa 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bookitwithhaddad 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miles and Miles 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Resistance Futile 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Tino in Toga 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Rocked Out 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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