Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr Skyscraper | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Dreamin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Boys Club | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy At Midnight | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Skyscraper | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royalist | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notime Formischief | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | French Connect | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doc’s Joy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Victory | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Misty Mood | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surf P F H | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Bileve | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Medicine Show | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christian Street | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In a Mineshaft | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Calle Reina | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Doll | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Business as Usual | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Contessa’s Song | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Bigger Bear | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lexington Diva | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Cherokee | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Tone Woman | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Lady | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Tale Sky | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cams Hotrod | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbow Smiles | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Love | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Big Muckity | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Bond We Trust | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Reserve | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buckin Again | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Alive | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He Blue Bayou | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew’s Liaison | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ammenthedestroyer | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero Time | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Furious Avenger | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kyembea | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rhonda | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Tiz Got | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Drinker | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desired Fantasies | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Last Chance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | River Ransom | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comes the Sun | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Mero Mero | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ukraine Strong | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Second Battalion | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Tree | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maui Mistress | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Lockout | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rocking Rocket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’ll Do | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Raise | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Rebal | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galactic Core | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ti Caillou | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaudacious Colton | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Bill | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paynt Ball | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keraunos | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magna Tap | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smarty Ball | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whiskey With You | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Lips Houlihan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hit One Out | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Posse | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E d’Oro | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leviathan Axe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Herecomestroy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.