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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rossington 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hoppertullio 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Toady Hopper 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cauteloso 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Marine Patrol 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Harrison C 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Boys of Summer 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Villanito 0 0-1
2 2 Villanito 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Khopesh 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Mendelsfly 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Surfboard 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 First Squad 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bointheback 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Liam’s Kiss 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Connelmaura 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mo Town Annie 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sirenetta 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Amalfi Lady 3.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Gormley Girl 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pylon 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Marathoner 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lookin’ Super 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spotted Bull 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Captain Chazz 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Mundo Mix 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Almond Cider 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Olliemeister 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Whiskey Prize 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mucho Macho Eddie 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Wizard Serrat 5.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Golden Wildcat 4.50 7.5 14-1
9 9 We Ready 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Crafty Don 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Jebologist 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Catch My Vibe 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nuedorf 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Warrior’s Vow 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rabbit 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Scamp Walker 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Tough Workout 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 So Close So Far 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Magical Jaime 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bluey 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Factor U and Me In 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Atrocious 0 0-1
3 3 Atrocious 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tricolour 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Harbour Bridge 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lecanto 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 St Pete’s Passion 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Carry Grant 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secured Landing 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Traffic Master 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Prince of Chill 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Patriarchal 4.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 The Gatekeeper 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Motskari 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Zoppi Fischbein 10.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Noneedtoworry 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chelsea Wall 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ifihadachance 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Valiant Majesty 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Peyton’s College 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mended We Stand 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Rolls Royce Joyce 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Road to Dreams 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Miss M M 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Turn On the Charm 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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