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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pretty Lily 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Afterneath 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Ode to Edie 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 La Sierva C 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Fast Gal 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lucky Opportunity 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Job’s Not Finished 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Flag Song Flyin 8.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Sassy Annie 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Onthisharvestmoon 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Swans Island 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Echo Lake 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sir Palace Prince 0 0-1
3 3 Spinning Heart 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Key Stat 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Maliblue 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sir Palace Prince 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Storm Watch 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Viral Video 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 E T’s Evasive Moon 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Remarkable Mo 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Four Days Early 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Don Tequilas 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Solemn Oath 0 0-1
1 1 Solemn Oath 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Black Ice 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Expect to Be Ready 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tres Maria’s Dream 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Gamestonks 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Popthechampagne Ro 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Heleonortiz 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Secret Temptation 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Borracho Concho 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Strasse 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Heavy Timber 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Miracle Trip 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Chochocho 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sleipnir 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Z’s So Good 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sharp Sensation 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 T’was the Night 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Why Stop There 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rob the Rich 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jake Rocks 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Rebel Empire 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Liberty Star 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Geebert 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 This Run’s for You 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Harley’s Charly 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sophia’s Prince 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 First Money 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Berks 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Group Hug 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Divine Miracle 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hoku 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Roan Mountain 2.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 People Force 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Swift Tap 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Iconic Legacy 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Level Up 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 The Gatekeeper 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winning Time 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 All American Rod 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 I Don’t See Colors 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dream Knight 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Awesome Flay 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Light the Way 3.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Depoli 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Catty’s Uncle 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Center Mid Maddie 0 0-1
11 11 Dylan’s Ruby 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Whiskeyromeosierra 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bronx Boys 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jewels in the Bay 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Ninja Prize 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Dropline 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Clever Tiger 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Center Mid Maddie 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mr Sandman 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Dance Code 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Humble Joe 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Between Dreams 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 La Cienega 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Parisian Vibe 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dantastic 6.00 1.9 3-1
11 11 Old Head 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Angelic Storm 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Boca Royalty 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Bahama Pearl 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Melodia 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Erin’s Enthusiasm 4.00 8 15-1
4 4 Lamasco 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Forest Maiden 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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