Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cool Tricks | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reina Mar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Gillion Points | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tariba Dream | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Love Ireland | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tins | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Did I Dazzle You | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All About Katz | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Magic Woman | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harmony Abarrio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Act | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trappezoid | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldness | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Abernathy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun’s Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Man | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Political Riot | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sticky McShnickens | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mohawk River | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boy o’ Boy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coercive | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben’s Hero | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Insolent | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit Sideways | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mama Bella | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Restless Dreamer | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Megeeth | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Luna Love | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Beauty | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Await | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bia | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Beauty | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Motor | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Twizzler | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Volkert | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grimes | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heals the Soul | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gepard | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Fixer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raka Raka Cruz | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Faith | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thenorthremembers | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Science (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucago | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Undalay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Deliberation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fede | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lindsay Smiles | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mattinata | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fontana Di Trevi | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Prime | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Chatterbox | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ocala | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Premiado | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Always True | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skull Honor | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krioyo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyper Venom | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Lancelot | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solo Me | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spartacus’s Dude | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Signal Caller | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Disclosure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | High Limit Room | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grouch | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chaplin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Test Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Flammable | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Zero | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | If Not for Luck | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Omaha City | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takecareofbusiness | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fregon | 12.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Parfait | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strengthnguidance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deputy Tramon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams of Myfather | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Always a Gentleman | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light Forever | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mully’s Moon | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Bagent Man | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Sky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Sword | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ours for Sure | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Spearman | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sultan the Great | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guaicaipuro | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charge Off | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zio Lorenzo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Faliero | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Express | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinicio | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Blues | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hard Scholar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Remerton | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reggae Man | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Maestro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth an Easy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | De la Calles | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Run | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Slew | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Operatnthunderbolt | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paxton | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cruising | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Franchuchie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.