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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Free Will 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Don’t Be Bossy 2.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 St. Monica 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kasens Tribe 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Baileys Shot 3.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Grace’s Vision 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Critical Velocity 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fire Sword 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Veterans Day 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Butler Cabin 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Liken It 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 El Oriente (CHI) 2.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Shut Up Man 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 American Smooth 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Moro Mafia 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hold My Hat 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mardi Gras Mambo 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Dubaian Money 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Tap the Tequila 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 He’s Ready to Win 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Koodie 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Star Decincodemayo 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Senor Smoke 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 What’s the Report 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Imperial Dynasty 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Hint of Faith 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 In B. J.’s Honor 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stephanie’s Maria 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Front and Silver 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sara’s Sapphire 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 New Destiny 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Emilyhasherturn 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Sue’s Little Zing 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sthepanie Princess 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Full Spirit 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chrome Racer 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Longleggedlaverne 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Tiz a Country Girl 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Blue Ridge Queen 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Mary Jack 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Summertime Bandit 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Reina Del Sur 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Love of My Heart 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Steel Argument 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Flash N Class 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Mokings 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Racy Bille 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Joey’s Lightening 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 My Pal Sweet 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Deal With It Daddy 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Habanero Tom 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cajun Ami 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pacificislandtime 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Super Curioso (ARG) 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Keys Included 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Midnight Rules 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Zong Tough 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Mor Big Lee 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Sarah’s Vision 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Don’t Box Me In 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 And Fifty 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Easy Big Boy 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Kentucky Peerless 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Custom Punch 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Shipman 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Usain d’Oro 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Shelley’s Money 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Glamorous Life 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Bayou Bertie 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jilly’s West 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Half Page 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bye Love Gotta Go 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Snow Flurry 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Megans Millions 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Gogo Bobbyjo 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Everlyn’s Angel 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Real Deal Ryan 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 On the Money Luv 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Ragazza 12.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Beat the Double 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Chickietown Star 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Galaxy Affair 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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