Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Eurostorm |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Itsnotmyjob |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Valtesse |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scrapbook |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bet On Bourbon |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Patootie |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Say What |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ourperfectprincess |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Funtimegirl |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cayman Queen |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Apriority Catch |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reaux Bina |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Rage of Art |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Indy Lover |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Katie’s C |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Sweet Morgan Leigh |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jenny’s Day |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Special Strike |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gin and Tonic |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
At First Light |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deal Breaking Dame |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starr Production |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tizzira |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pitchatizzy |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boston Elle |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
She’s Magnificent |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
She’s a Bandit |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Geaux Sugar |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doctored Deal |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stovall |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sharp Charlie |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lauri’s Wish |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iron in the Fire |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Black Sword |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grunt |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Father Goose |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (My Trusty Cat S.) – My Trusty Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mrs. Mendelssohn |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nomoretanlines |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapitures Actor |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Casually Classy |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quite the Catch |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mrs. Mendelssohn |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jet Pack |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bless the Broken |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Jean Lafitte S.) – Jean Lafitte S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bergheim |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coal Battle |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Million Moons |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Contrabandist |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Romeo Spikes |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Map of Donegal |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Warrior and a Half |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Magnolia West |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Treasure Chest S.) – Treasure Chest S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Free Like a Girl |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Wish |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Abundancia |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tensas Candy |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Autism Community |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wild Bout Hilary |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Emily’s Bullet |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Battle Cry |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Delta Mile S.) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Touchuponastar |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Komorebino Omoide (JPN) |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chrome Baby |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Run Classic |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Donegal Clan |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tdzshininluckystar |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hap Hot |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brian’s Iron Mike |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alex Joon |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Machine Gun Man |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Brite Outlook |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fort Polk |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mumblebee |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hardly Mischievous |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cashew |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ann’s Storm |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macee |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Trip |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be a Bandit |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bitsy C C Lil Girl |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aunt Irene |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Crystal Crescent |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.