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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eurostorm 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Valtesse 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Scrapbook 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bet On Bourbon 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Hot Patootie 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Say What 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Ourperfectprincess 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Funtimegirl 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Cayman Queen 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Apriority Catch 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Reaux Bina 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 The Rage of Art 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Indy Lover 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Katie’s C 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sweet Morgan Leigh 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Jenny’s Day 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Special Strike 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Gin and Tonic 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 At First Light 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Deal Breaking Dame 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Starr Production 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Tizzira 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Pitchatizzy 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Boston Elle 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 She’s Magnificent 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 She’s a Bandit 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Geaux Sugar 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Doctored Deal 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Stovall 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sharp Charlie 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Lauri’s Wish 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Iron in the Fire 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Black Sword 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Grunt 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Father Goose 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (My Trusty Cat S.) – My Trusty Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mrs. Mendelssohn 0 0-1
5 5 Nomoretanlines 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tapitures Actor 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Casually Classy 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Quite the Catch 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mrs. Mendelssohn 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Jet Pack 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bless the Broken 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Jean Lafitte S.) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bergheim 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Coal Battle 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 A Million Moons 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Contrabandist 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Romeo Spikes 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Map of Donegal 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Warrior and a Half 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Magnolia West 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Treasure Chest S.) – Treasure Chest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Free Like a Girl 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Perfect Wish 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Abundancia 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tensas Candy 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Autism Community 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Wild Bout Hilary 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Emily’s Bullet 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Battle Cry 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Delta Mile S.) – Delta Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Touchuponastar 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Komorebino Omoide (JPN) 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Chrome Baby 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Run Classic 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 The Donegal Clan 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tdzshininluckystar 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Hap Hot 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Brian’s Iron Mike 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Alex Joon 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Machine Gun Man 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Brite Outlook 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fort Polk 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mumblebee 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Hardly Mischievous 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Cashew 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ann’s Storm 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Macee 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Midnight Trip 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Be a Bandit 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Aunt Irene 6.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Crystal Crescent 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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