Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Evabody | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Flower | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Save the Queen | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Grace | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucille Ball | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Chaser | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melancia | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stronsino | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Upstanding | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Index Fund | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glint | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Party With Smarty | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stronsino | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Devil | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Henry | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Bold Endeavor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mystic Night | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suerte | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Flat Out Flying | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 5 | He’s Got This | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Alternate Reality | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not the First Time | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejanita | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Latham Ridge | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beauty Reigns | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taratel | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sherrona | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decree and Declare | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stone Cold Kelly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pretti Xtreme | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Linda | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tosconova Beauty | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reigning Chick | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joey the Fish | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jolly Miss Jill | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Born Dancer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gem Mint Ten | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bettrluckythangood | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laurel Valley | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B D Saints | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Conscience | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cable Ready | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreampoint | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Runningwscissors | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Call Me Harry | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Agent Creed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Locke and Key | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Shadow Dragon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Cay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kreesa | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thank You Jon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collected Special | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got It | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badlands Ruler | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chalky Cat | 3.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whenlovetakesover | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | See You Around (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Decision | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jody’s Pride | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macanga | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Candy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Way to Be Marie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Save Us Melania | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Best Impression | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loon Cry | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontlookbackatall | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Appeals | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toupie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mz Big Bucks | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mohawk Trail | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Dolly | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Hostess (SAF) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All That Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Walk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Security Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yesternight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.