Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Finest | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | William Gustavo | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Red Aces | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pinehurst (IRE) | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Saints | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spry Charlie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zapaway | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Tough | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Altar Girl | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tootoo Tourist | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap Iron Fist | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Craftroom | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Lady | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Macomber | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Tude | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charming Kat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Boo | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Palace | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Payroll | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Name the Time | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Humor | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Deelite | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uptown Social | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Boy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Bayou | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Putt Richie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Ours N Stormy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justin Speight | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cazadero | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hostile Afleet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Leo | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Verdict | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andiamo Giacomo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barahin | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr B Quiet | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bode’s Light | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Charlie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Blue Ridge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Brother | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hanks | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fahan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Atras | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Q | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scooteranddabigman | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Barrel Man | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Mark | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Edge Sword | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin With Angels | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trippin On Beauty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Sleep | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby’s Last Dance | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pitch and Run | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joseph H | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery’s Gem | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Chico | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Live Affair | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Blue Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Country | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kokomo Starlet | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Gem | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Gypsy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Deal | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Likes Bling | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Spry | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Special Feature | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dolly’s Harbor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Country Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Deal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.