Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run Jalen Run | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet as Sin | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On My Honor | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caper’s Hooley | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edified | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bebedouro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Territoriality | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midway Vow | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Prayer | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Splendor | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Salty | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anointed of God | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Show | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Target | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderian | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gasoline | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Background | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coppermaster | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Cut | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trident Hit | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Chic | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mercy Otis | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honeybeebobbie | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Bossy Lady | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madame Markievicz | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Summer | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuku | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me the Light | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jailhouse Religion | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Streaking | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Riley | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Glorious Musings | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasing the Crown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Departure | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Devil | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seize the Night | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wadsworth | 1.40 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Dreaming | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Wireless | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Johny | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan Estate | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Del Rayo | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sagittarius | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roussette | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Man | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Missile | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Rhodes | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sooey Strong | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jackson’s Roar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thrilla | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eighty West | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mendello | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One True Shance | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ace It | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charbonnay | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shan | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Dandi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Austin Cruise | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bonne Fille | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indigo Stunner | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fine Finish | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cotillard | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lonelle | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sashay Away | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Treasure | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous Moon | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Town | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Terra Town | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Swan House | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slow No Mo | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy the Princess | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cornhuskerchris | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hasten | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discotheque | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Monaco | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambridge | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crisis Manager | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Admiral Dennis | 1.60 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tavern Time | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monet’s Magic | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.