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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Costa Terra 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Army Times 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Moore’s Law 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Summer Cause 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Barese 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Magic Michael 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Salvation 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Mitole 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Social Hour 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Papa’s Nico Boy 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 America’s Honor 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Broderick 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Tapizar’s Temper 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Brave Bear 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bustin Bay 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Maggy’s Palace 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Echo in Eternity 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Brown Suga Babe 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Maggie T 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Mosienko 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Lavon 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Miss Lao 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Malu 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Boston Strong Mama 0 0-1
5 5 Naughty Destiny 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Follow Your Arrow 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Majulu 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Cerretta 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Boston Strong Mama 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 She’s a Natural 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Artistic Success 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lil’ Hayadoin 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Realta 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Essential Life 15.00 11.5 22-1
13 13 Miss Uproar 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Holder Close 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chili Bean 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Freud’s Fancy 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Good Mission 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Funny Forecast 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lcgolucky 0 0-1
4 4 Always Be Smart 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wajda 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 True Connection 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Confabulation 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Lcgolucky 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mano E Mano 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Just Be Honest 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Active Duty 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bad Boy Butch 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Latest Edition 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Condiment Girl 10.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Jackson’s Dixie 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Vegas Weekend 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bank On Anna 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 She Caught My Eye 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Try It Again 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Everlys Girl 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Mon Petit Chou 5.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Boss Lady Kim 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Carbon 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Revalita (FR) 3.50 1 2-1
8 7 Rhiannon 1.80 2.2 4-1
10 9 Awesome Czech 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Vino Rouge 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 1 Roswell 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Vino Rouge 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Anileate 30.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Whistler’s Style 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Bells Beach 2.50 SCRATCH
1 12 Save Us Melania 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Public Defender 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Just Music 3.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Best Impression 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spoken Bluntly 0 0-1
7 7 Spoken Bluntly 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Scherzando 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Wind Dancer 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hard Par 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Price Is Truth 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Vitalize 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Allofasuddenlee 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Can’t Stand Disco 50.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sweet Tone 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Sol the Frank 50.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Isomarshall 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Judge Rules 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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