Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’m Your Man | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashmeup | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shogun Be Fast | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Magic | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethereal Road | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Normal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Noble Knight | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| Ethereal Road | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Airborne Elite | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Sudd | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gettysburg Address | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cathedral Beach | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Chill | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zeca Diabo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Line of Scrimmage | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trust Daddy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| Zeca Diabo | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Airforce Lightning | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mezcalifornia | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greenwich Pike | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shady Nights | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Kam | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Worry | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rando | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Reign Champagne | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Global Queen | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catnip Hill | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnetic Beach | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lasko Lady | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashlight | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| Lasko Lady | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Trouble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bang Bang Fury | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splattered | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adalene | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackfoot Daisy | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Titania’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Stormin | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Purple | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Benedetta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya Showers | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reagan’s Flame | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trial | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sing a Little Song | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Moscato | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Calhouna | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Taranto Titan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mehlek | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Kingdom | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hank Ollie | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiddie Holiday | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Whisper | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chancel | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ask in My Name | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Media Sensation | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Joe | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Desolator | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ramesses | 3.00 | 20.6 | 39-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trap Line | 4.00 | 20.6 | 39-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munyhungry | 4.50 | 20.6 | 39-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saturday Long Legs | 5.00 | 20.7 | 39-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormin Love | 6.00 | 20.7 | 39-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosenow | 12.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tie Breaker Lennie | 12.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Photo Op | 12.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Puckster | 20.00 | 21.5 | 41-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Operatore Pazzo | 20.00 | 21.5 | 41-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ricky’s Best | 30.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mean Eileen | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Marinera | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace On Grace | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosato | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn Rhythm | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mascara | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gerlin’s Empire | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | West Saratoga | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lambeth | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Eagles River | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberal Arts | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ben Franklin | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lugan Knight | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banishing | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Banjo Chris | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Aaron | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| Lugan Knight | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dia Estelar (ARG) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Air Force Thunder | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Estrela | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Her Number | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Moon | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Leven | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Mystery | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redheadedstranger | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cat’s Symphony | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| Redheadedstranger | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.