Site icon Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flint Rock 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Seven Digits 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Maximum Grace 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Josh G 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Uninspired 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Mr Doris 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Sophie’s Painter 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 My Special Star 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 M L Brody’s Gem 12.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Beach Trippin 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Yakety Yock 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stormy Valentine 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Black Ace 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Sorcerer’s Girl 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Marina 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Tiz Sweet Candy 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Mahomebred 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 She’smysmokeshow 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Knights Sword 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Lunch Lady 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Savannah’s Here 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Canal St. Cupid 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bellamy Brother 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 A G’s Gem 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Iron Moon 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Zong’s Favor 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Frenetic Day 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 R and R Star 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Taurean 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Involvednteraction 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Watch the Coast 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bitsy’s Star 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 I Nita Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dream Trap 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Be Bo 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jess’s Rainbow 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cherry Star 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tolatetoowait 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 No Cost 2.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Simple Sunday 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Trotting Gear 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Cozzolani 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crushed It 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Donegal Freedom 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Marcus Gift 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Midnight Avenger 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Grand Sam 2.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Donegal Moonshine 4.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Obvious Conclusion 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Unbridled’s Heir 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lo Lo’s Laughter 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cajun Ami 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 First Class Harlow 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Overbore 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mayheminthepalace 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Throwin’ Shade 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Pal Sweet 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Titanium Deal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cryptozonic 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Home Visit 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Muffin Nuts 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Heza Pickle 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Pacificislandtime 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Joey’s Game 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trips to Win 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rite On Sam 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Call Me Rip 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Star Apriority 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 We Call Him Doc 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Backfire 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 It’s a Secret 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Pegaso 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version