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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vicki Vale 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Imperio Azteca 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Vivi Rose 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Laguardia 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Kaya Star 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Miss Jones 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Miss Hard to Get 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Teca 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aaraj 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Strasse 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Try Harder 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Jiggery Pokery 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hot Love 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Onlygodcanjudgeme 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Stay Funny 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gavichi 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cedar Valley 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chloe Rose 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Peacelovenkarma 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Gangster Rap 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Shell Belle 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Heart Light 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mercy Mercy 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sirenetta 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bonita Lassie 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tomarie 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Anna Rocks 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Like a Pro 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Real Talk 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 What Does It Take 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mac Daddy Too 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Ego Man 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Enforcer 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 B B Bad 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Scaramanga 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Ninja Prize 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gun Trader 0 0-1
1 1 Au Some Warrior 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 We Miss Neil 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Gun Trader 2.50 4 7-1
5 5 Play the Gray 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 The Tire Man 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Entente 4.00 5 10-1
7 7 River’s Gamble 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gone Boy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Center Stage 0 0-1
1 1 Pachelbel 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 For Sale 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Alcala 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Center Stage 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Miss Easy 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Missy Sixtysix 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sirani 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chuck Willis (IRE) 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Normandy Hero 3.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Mr. Antonelli 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Meet Me At Mundis 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Midlaner 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tuskegee Airmen 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Young Squire 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Capo 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Alchemism 0 0-1
6 6 My Military Hero 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Son of Thor 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Centaur Central 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Dream Talk 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Leo’s Legacy 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Marvelous Mo 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 L Golden Boy 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Alchemism 4.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Il Rosso 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Grey Images 15.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Premier Cru 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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