Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Up the Creek | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wowsers | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Hope | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marmo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Innocent Nyght | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No What Ifs | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flight to Paris | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invulnerable | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abadin | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go the Distance | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tagliatelle | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harvard | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Refuah | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furious Anger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Three Polks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perceptive | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goddess of War | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Fleet | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldblooded | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tango Zulu | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Blood | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Escapade | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Faithful | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outrageously | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Storm Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudy Holiday | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fort Thomas | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warp Nine | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Maker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilian Defense | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscargot | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Finn McSorley | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Stan | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stradivarian | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ambition | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Toddies In | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Elko County | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Serengeti | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Blaze | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rubia | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sally O’Malley | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nursekringledances | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gloriette | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Kisses | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | W W Candy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J. P. Race | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Jimmy | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outlier | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chipofftheoldblock | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Benny | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born Flawless | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodasiwonswas | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pro Oxidant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valentine Candy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Shiesty | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Cadet | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billal | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bear River | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hedwig | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrasteia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Spartan Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heart Spin | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Waves | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fantastical | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adrasteia | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pawky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silk | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hattie Bloom | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abeyance | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standoutsensation | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tidal Tactics | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steampunk | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Berna Ditty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Harvey’s Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | For Love and Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Paradise Lane | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Condone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Lightbulb Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 19 | 19 | Classy’n Connected | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Whiskey Shot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Saikali | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volt | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Culture War | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Burning Glory | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fever Night | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Gallop | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Successful Union | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tremendously | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Master Controller | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Mo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.