Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Factor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magens Bay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commandeeress | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Moon River | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summertimee | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat Ate the Canary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Reader | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Raspberry Martini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Okie Music | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Camelia | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gettin Out of Here | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptic Miss | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Tiz Got | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Cowgirl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Drinker | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Sister | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maggie d’Cause | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eutychia | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Candy Cane | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby the Destroyer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Aflutter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Trouble | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Strike | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birdie Be Gone | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Brown | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charmonte | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Rose | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peach Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bay Baybe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anotherbottle | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Peloton | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron’s Spirit | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norway Beach | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Reserve | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slick Country Boy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Zone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Will Take Cash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Fabulous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bandera Azteca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Dad | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starburst | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suitable | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Candy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mysterious Tale | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Del Moon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Black Opal | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fayette Warrior | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Say It Nicely | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Define | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tin Badge | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Wayside | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reba Deba | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callitfateluckarma | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucy’s Halo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Share | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sanoviv | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Thyme Queen | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Code Red | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Joan Jets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Copper Em | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missingyoucrazy | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contour | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kirby Kaye | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Fabulous | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.