Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smudge | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Without a Pout (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laguna Seca | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amourette | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Melle Mel | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit Song | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Than Better | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winning Streep | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gwenniethebutcher | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grexi’s A | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grand Tower | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moral Agency | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lomachenko | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapscallion | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Xy Face | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antillean | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate Radio | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chacharero | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orb Alpha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rachels Song | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Confer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plagne Champagne | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Judith | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sizzle | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontmesswithtess | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Parallel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Westside Tide | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bell Mountain | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McGinnis | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Erik Fly | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proton Spirit | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Say Never | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Il Siciliano | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Tiger | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth an Easy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cruising | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Three Run Bolt | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Azure Lady | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angie From Kulm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Vision | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Knows It All | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Fortune Cookie | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightsaber (GB) | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Divine Encounter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tipharah | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonshining | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ave Fenix | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spirit of Victory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bear Claw Necklace | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing Driver | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insurmountable | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea God | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor That Dude | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fountain Run | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indecisiveness | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juan Colorado | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Garrincha | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Beau | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Le Beau | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swoonatra | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boston Rose (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burnaway | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Towser | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cindylouwho | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okay Fine | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gilded Edge | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fantasy Performer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tape Runner | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkling Star (PER) | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sri Lanka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nineteenamendment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Madame Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Copper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cross Haste | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gone Nuts | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solomons Gold | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sovereign of Speed | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feast | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Litigant | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Armed Forces S.) – Armed Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bridle a Butterfly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Sailor | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Squeaky Wheels | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Formulate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Rascal | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Know I Know | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tank | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | God With Us | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carcone | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarecrow | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Daniel Sun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backwoods Boogie | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Initforthelove | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swan Lake | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bringer of Rain | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent and Violent | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Armando | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momza | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Castagno | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burning Man | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Showing Up S.) – Showing Up S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Nelson | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General Ledger | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In a Jam | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Prevent | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Heart | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goes the Clown | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elevated Game | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Principle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benvolio | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Cole | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Your Man Alex | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mugatu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.