Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gardiner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hedge | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Optical | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Righteous Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blake James | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Guy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Dax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Winakaching | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pate | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up On the Edge | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Fury | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hot Jeanie | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Quality | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Lady Day | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cant Stop Munnings | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quintillion | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ripped | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Skidaddle | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Favorite Son | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reach | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Intent | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guardian | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Multiverse | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baker Hayfield | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slam Diego | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparkle of Hope | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbie Sox | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Mika | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Jersey Tuff | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ella Frances | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evie’s Encore | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Hearted | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Putting Eagle | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poppa Echo | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kalahari Dreams | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mubarez | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faust | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Galantini | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lottery Win | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caldera | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canisius | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Moment | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed King | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Tailwind | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Force | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooting | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kraken | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saving Heart | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | White Whale | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sinatra | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Disco Time | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Passes | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Victory | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tears in Rain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muhimma | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Purple | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liam in the Dust | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollygrove | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Kin | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Orient | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plaza Beach | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lit Miss Hat Trick | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Quest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Evanescence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Pioneer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Idratherbeblessed | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beuys (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelssohns March | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitodan | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray’s Fable | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quadra Island | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Springs | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Higgins Boat | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Johny’s Fireball | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | King Curlin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Liar’s Poker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tapit Shoes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Realignment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAfee | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Mr McGregor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prints Money | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artwell | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Troillet | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fore Flag | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rewire | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vigorish | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Merlotti | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sesame Streek | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Gunner | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freaky Z | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Backstretch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killjoy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Hoff | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | To Monarch | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Akinmusire | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bermuda Blitz | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Killjoy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Snoop | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game Day | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Chiffre | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McAfee | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | South Bend Tom | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sock It to Me | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Point | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.