Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yell County | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comes the Sun | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unnecessary Tricks | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Day | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nada Yada Yada | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Cruiser | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riddle Me That | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Seventeen | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calle Diamante | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Darylslittlediablo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Race Day Rebal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Levy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lions Not Sheep | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panzer Pride | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Memory | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gist | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Devil | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stockpiler | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cousin Larry | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Chrome | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Baby | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasingly | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsonlymoneyhoney | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Code | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gee She’s Fancy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witsec | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bulleit Rocks | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Tap Dancer | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afraid Im Notcents | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | God Knows Why | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Austin City Girl | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C L Legacy | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Box a Rocks | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause Mimi Said | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dapilot | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Skyscraper | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Rock It | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Dial | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exhilaration | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Country Boy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frozentap | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chili the Kid | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boss Down | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Wife Is Right | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Doll | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contessa’s Song | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bringonthebubbly | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluebonnet Girl | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undo the Right | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Bird | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Willa | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | In a Mineshaft | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midshipman’s Lady | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Domina | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Along Came Thunder | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delta Nights | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Bileve | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Katillac | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Need Alittle Magic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Soldiers Sacrifice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kell’s Bells | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castille | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runhappy d’Oro | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Jack | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dutch Bus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Your Job | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am the Juan | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bougie Joe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Anotherbottle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fireball Birdie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Saturdays | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewelstown | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time Muse | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ringside | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight’n Ready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magna Tap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keraunos | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Code Jorgie | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Ball | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandsonsam | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leviathan Axe | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | E d’Oro | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.